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DividenRunby @lotmetrik

Jendela run-up dividen

Emiten yang perkiraan ex-date-nya dalam ~3 bulan ke depan, fase di mana, secara historis, harga cenderung menguat menjelang cum-date (lihat metodologi). Kolom run-up = rata-rata abnormal return 20 hari bursa menuju cum + % kejadian positif (backtest 2020-2026; ringkasan lengkap di Temuan backtest). Bukan sinyal beli; masa lalu bukan jaminan.
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Perkiraan tanggal = pola musiman (bisa meleset; RUPS dapat menggeser jadwal). Data run-up baru tersedia untuk 49 dari 49 emiten (yang punya riwayat harga terbacktest). Angka run-up belum memperhitungkan biaya transaksi dan bersifat in-sample. Harga bisa turun setelah ex-date, hindari beli tepat setelah ex.
EmitenSektorPerkiraan ex≈ hari lagiRun-up H-20 (rata2 · menang · n)Drop ex-day
SGRO
Prime Agri Resources Tbk
Konsumen PrimerNovember 202613+9.23% · 100% · n60.89×
KDSI
Kedawung Setia Industrial Tbk
PerindustrianNovember 202627+12.17% · 100% · n60.84×
PBSA
Paramita Bangun Sarana Tbk
InfrastrukturDesember 202648+20.84% · 100% · n71.02×
PNGO
PINAGO UTAMA Tbk
Konsumen PrimerNovember 202613+11.71% · 90.91% · n111.38×
DVLA
Darya-Varia Laboratoria Tbk
KesehatanNovember 20262+3.8% · 90% · n101.12×
BMRI
Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk
KeuanganNovember 202610+3.83% · 87.5% · n80.75×
TBLA
Tunas Baru Lampung Tbk
Konsumen PrimerDesember 202642+7.22% · 87.5% · n81.13×
ISAT
Indosat Ooredoo Hutchison Tbk
InfrastrukturDesember 202636+11.15% · 85.71% · n70.17×
TUGU
Asuransi Tugu Pratama Indonesia Tbk
KeuanganDesember 202636+5.8% · 85.71% · n70.55×
BSSR
Baramulti Suksessarana Tbk
EnergiNovember 20269+14.65% · 83.33% · n180.86×
LPPF
MDS Retailing Tbk
Konsumen Non-PrimerNovember 202610+10.96% · 83.33% · n61.16×
RAJA
Rukun Raharja Tbk
EnergiJanuari 202769+15.72% · 83.33% · n60.03×
ASSA
Adi Sarana Armada Tbk
TransportasiNovember 202614+5.77% · 80% · n50.75×
BRAM
Indo Kordsa Tbk
PerindustrianNovember 20267+11.05% · 77.78% · n91.13×
AVIA
Avia Avian Tbk
Barang BakuNovember 202612+0.8% · 77.78% · n90×
YUPI
Yupi Indo Jelly Gum Tbk
Konsumen PrimerDesember 202633+11.35% · 75% · n42.64×
LTLS
Lautan Luas Tbk
Barang BakuDesember 202642+3.52% · 75% · n81×
TSPC
Tempo Scan Pacific Tbk
KesehatanDesember 202636+4.3% · 72.73% · n110.7×
CPIN
Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk
Konsumen PrimerNovember 202616+3.86% · 71.43% · n70×
TMAS
Temas Tbk.
TransportasiJanuari 202775+6.82% · 71.43% · n70.96×
NELY
Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk
TransportasiNovember 20263+3.02% · 70% · n101×
SPTO
Surya Pertiwi Tbk
PerindustrianNovember 202623+4.73% · 70% · n101×
MCOL
Prima Andalan Mandiri Tbk
EnergiNovember 202625+9.62% · 70% · n100.82×
IPCM
Jasa Armada Indonesia Tbk
TransportasiDesember 202636+1.99% · 70% · n100.9×
ADRO
Alamtri Resources Indonesia Tbk (d/h Adaro Energy)
EnergiDesember 202657+3.36% · 69.23% · n130.85×
MLBI
Multi Bintang Indonesia Tbk
Konsumen PrimerNovember 202619+0.9% · 66.67% · n91.01×
BOBA
Formosa Ingredient Factory Tbk
Konsumen PrimerNovember 202621+5.44% · 66.67% · n90.6×
TBIG
Tower Bersama Infrastructure Tbk
InfrastrukturDesember 202642+1.86% · 66.67% · n90.31×
IPCC
Indonesia Kendaraan Terminal Tbk
InfrastrukturDesember 202651+5.55% · 66.67% · n90.8×
POWR
Cikarang Listrindo Tbk
InfrastrukturDesember 202641+2.84% · 63.64% · n110.85×
SCMA
Surya Citra Media Tbk
Konsumen Non-PrimerNovember 202618+2.89% · 62.5% · n80.8×
BYAN
Bayan Resources Tbk
EnergiDesember 202647+8.72% · 60% · n100.02×
RDTX
Roda Vivatex Tbk
PropertiJanuari 202770+7.22% · 60% · n101.25×
JPFA
Japfa Comfeed Indonesia Tbk
Konsumen PrimerNovember 202613+4.42% · 57.14% · n70.75×
BBRI
Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk
KeuanganJanuari 202779+0.34% · 54.55% · n110.82×
UNVR
Unilever Indonesia Tbk
Konsumen PrimerDesember 202634-1.3% · 53.85% · n130.57×
TOWR
Sarana Menara Nusantara Tbk
InfrastrukturDesember 202644+0.51% · 53.85% · n130.83×
BUAH
Segar Kumala Indonesia Tbk
Konsumen PrimerNovember 202612+1.39% · 50% · n60.35×
PTPS
Pulau Subur Tbk
Konsumen PrimerNovember 202622+1.72% · 50% · n60×
MSTI
Mastersystem Infotama Tbk
TeknologiDesember 202640+3.42% · 50% · n40.94×
BBCA
Bank Central Asia Tbk
KeuanganNovember 20263-0.22% · 46.67% · n150.42×
SIDO
Industri Jamu dan Farmasi Sido Muncul Tbk
KesehatanNovember 20264-1.93% · 46.15% · n130.67×
AMOR
Ashmore Asset Management Indonesia Tbk
KeuanganNovember 202626+2.43% · 45.45% · n112×
SICO
Sigma Energy Compressindo Tbk
EnergiDesember 202636-0.6% · 44.44% · n91×
TPMA
Trans Power Marine Tbk
TransportasiNovember 202614-1.45% · 42.86% · n71×
DUTI
Duta Pertiwi Tbk
PropertiDesember 202642+12.19% · 100% · n30.89×
AADI
Adaro Andalan Indonesia Tbk
EnergiNovember 202617+1.42% · 50% · n21.39×
ARCI
Archi Indonesia Tbk
Barang BakuDesember 202640-1.78% · 50% · n21.45×
DGWG
Delta Giri Wacana Tbk
Barang BakuNovember 202627-6.4% · 0% · n31.56×

Drop ex-day = median (harga cum − harga ex) ÷ dividen; 1× berarti harga turun persis sebesar dividen. Sumber harga backtest: Yahoo Finance / WSJ. Bukan saran investasi.